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MEG Market Weekly (Dec 6-10 2010)


http://www.texnet.com.cn  2010-12-14 08:56:13  来源:CCFGroup 收藏
华兴纱管
CCF Price
Spot   6-Dec 10-Dec Weekly Average Trend
  WTI crude futures 89.4 87.8 88.5
Feedstock Naphtha ($/mt CFR Japan) 850.3 848.0 848.1
Ethylene ($/mt CFR NE Asia) 1169.0 1174.0 1173.0
MEG Spot China domestic (Yuan/mt cash, ex-tank) 8220.0 8170.0 8208.0
Import market ($/mt CFR China L/C 90 days) 1023 1033 1029.2
MEG Contract   Sep Oct Nov Dec
SABIC ($/mt CFR Asia) 880 900 1020 1160
SHELL ($/mt CFR Asia) 870 900 1030 1160
MEGlobal ($/mt CFR Asia) 870 910 1030 1180
Sinopec (Yuan/mt delivered) Offer 6600 7900 9000 8500
Settlement 6800 8900 8750 N/A
Imports(kt) August 560.7 September 543.8 October 495.1
Market roundup
MEG market floated in weakness this week. The domestic and import market trends was divergent. The import market was relatively firm and the enquiry for deep sea cargoes was especially active, while the domestic market kept on declining as the traders showed little interest in building stock and polyester plants only took in goods at lower prices. In import market, the highest and lowest traded prices were $1040/mt and $1020/mt, while in China domestic market the prices were 8350yuan/mt and 8100yuan/mt.

In early week, the market extended the weak trend with transactions reducing. Most traders were inactive and only a few polyester producers purchased at lower prices. The traded prices fell from 8350yuan/mt to 8200yuan/mt in midweek. The market continued to soften in late week. The deals were discussed at 8150-8200yuan/mt and some deal was concluded at 8100yuan/mt.

The import market also floated within small range this week. The talking prices were at $1030-1040/mt in early week. With market sentiment weakening, the talking prices fell to $1020-1025/mt. The buying interest from traders emerged again. The deals were talked at $1030/mt. The market moved sideways with talking prices at $1030-1035/mt, but the buying and selling spread was about $10-15/mt. By the end of the week, the transactions were a little active and the prices moved up.
Inventory
MEG Inventory in East China Ports* (unit:10kt)
  Last Week This Week
Zhangjiagang 25 26
Taicang 7.5 7
Jiangyin 5 5
Ningbo 12 12
Total 49.5 50
MEG Inventory Tank:     high Polyester plant:   moderate
*statistics available
Forecast
The transactions remained inactive, mainly for deep sea cargoes. The majority are waiting for the central economic conference on December 10 to set the tone for next year's economic development. Coupled with tightened credit, polyester plants showed little buying interest in the short term. In downstream market, the inventory piled up recently, but the operating rate was maintained and demand for MEG was stable. In the short term, the imported goods were more attractive to the polyester plants.
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